
Caleb Williams Didn’t Respond Well to Pressure vs. Oregon
It was a ‘classic Caleb Williams game’ for the USC quarterback (QB). He made a few ridiculous theatrical plays with his elite athleticism and ability to improvise, mixed in with plays that weren’t so hot.
It’s plays like this one right here that has about everyone thinking Williams is ‘generational,’ because that’s pretty much all mainstream media presents to us.
In reality, he had a mediocre performance going 19-for-34 (55.9%) with 291 yards passing, one touchdown, zero interceptions, and one pass breakup. He also was sacked three times as No. 6 Oregon defeated USC 36-27.
This continued the trend this season of Williams not being able to beat ranked college competition.
WATCH CALEB WILLIAMS VS. OREGON
Oregon’s defense got consistent pressure in Williams’ face and it noticeably knocked him out of sync.
Glorified system QB?
I started an independent study while evaluating all of Williams’ games this season by charting how many of his passes in each game were short-range (0-9 yards). Scouting is all about being able to identify patterns and trends. He has had his strongest completion percentages the more short passes he throws in a game (which exposes his ball placement at the intermediate to deep route levels).
In 2023:
-San Jose State (60% of Williams passes were short-range with a 72% completion percentage).
-Nevada (61% of Williams passes were short-range with a 75% completion percentage).
-Stanford (62% of Williams passes were short-range with a 90.5% completion percentage.)
-ASU (32% of Williams passes were short-range with a 64.5% completion percentage).
-Colorado (60% of Williams passes were short-range with a 75% completion percentage).
-Arizona (28% of Williams passes were short-range with a 56% completion percentage).
-Notre Dame (35% of Williams passes were short-range 62.2% completion percentage)
-Utah (44% of Williams passes were short-range with a 70.6% completion percentage)
–CAL (30% of Williams passes were short-range with 57.5% completion percentage)
-Washington (60% of Williams passes were short-range with 77.1% completion percentage)
-Oregon (35% of Williams passes were short range with a 55.9% completion percentage)
Other disturbing trends continue…
I watched every snap last season and this season of Williams’ games and all along he has shown a couple of concerns when it comes to projecting him to the NFL.
That trend continued against Oregon.
-inconsistent going through his progressions
-inconsistent release time
It’s important at the NFL level for QBs to go through their progressions and not lock into where they are going to throw. Locking in with targets gives corners at the next level more time to react and anticipate throws, increasing their chances of being able to make a play on the ball.
What did he do well against the Ducks?
While he was inconsistent at the intermediate to deep route levels, he did manage to throw three intermediate beauties and one nice deep pass.
He also protected his body while running the football.
Additionally, he mounted a couple of long touchdown drives (10 plays-75 yards and 6 plays-77 yards) in the fourth quarter that got the Trojans within striking distance.
Scouting summary
Oregon had Williams back on his heels the entire game, and from an NFL standpoint, it makes me wonder. I didn’t like his response to the pressure Oregon was able to get on him. I also am concerned about him against higher-level competition.
This isn’t a one-off.
He didn’t rise to the occasion against the Ducks. It makes me wonder if this is what he looked like against No. 6 Oregon, how will he look against a much higher level of competition in the NFL?
Daniel Kelly is a former NFL Scout with the New York Jets. He was hired on the regime which featured Bill Parcells, Bill Belichick, Scott Pioli, Mike Tannenbaum, and Dick Haley. He is currently the Editor-in-Chief for First Round Mock, contributes at Yardbarker, and has written for Sports Illustrated Lions, Jets, and 49ers, as well as a featured guest on ESPN Radio and Fox Sports Radio. For more information about him visit his website at whateverittakesbook.com. He can be followed on Twitter @firstroundmock.
Featured Articles
Cam Ward 2025 NFL Draft QB1
Reading Time: 3 minutesWatch Miami QB Cam Ward in 13 games from the 2024 season embedded into this article.
Shedeur Sanders Undraftable Free Agent Value in 2025 NFL Draft
Reading Time: 3 minutesWatch 13 games of Colorado quarterback Shedeur Sanders during the 2024 season embedded into this article.
Rajvir Bal Compares Jaxson Dart to Brett Favre
Reading Time: 4 minutesWatch six games of Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart during the 2024 season embedded into this article.
Ashton Jeanty Draws Hall of Fame Grade in 2025 NFL Draft
Reading Time: 3 minutesWatch Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty in 13 games during the 2024 season embedded into this article.
Jalen Milroe: More Than Just a Football Player
Reading Time: 3 minutesFirst Round Mock's Victoria Jonach looks into Jalen Milroe's recent "LANK" episode.
Abdul Carter Best Defensive Player in 2025 NFL Draft
Reading Time: 3 minutesWatch 15 games of Penn State EDGE rusher Abdul Carter from the 2024 season embedded into this article.
Rajvir Bal Puts First Round Grade on QB Kyle McCord
Reading Time: 4 minutesWatch four games of Syracuse QB Kyle McCord during the 2024 season embedded into this article.
Former NFL Scout Loves Wide Receiver Travis Hunter
Reading Time: 3 minutesWatch 13 games of wide receiver/cornerback Travis Hunter at Colorado in 2024 embedded into this article.
How NIL is Allowing Quinn Ewers to Give Back to His Mom
Reading Time: 2 minutesFirst Round Mock's Victoria Jonach explores Quinn Ewers' recent claim about NIL.
Tyler Warren is Travis Kelce 2.0
Reading Time: 3 minutesWatch 14 games of Penn State tight end Tyler Warren from the 2024 season embedded into this article.